Sorry guys for not being around during tourney, but was on holiday and then was one week in Austria watching games (Spain- Greece and Turkey-Croatia)
first the breaking news everybody is talking about here....balack is doubtful with a calf-injury. he missed final practice session today.
against everything what is said i still expect hime to play if there is the smallest chance (BTW the same goes for Villa from spain)
looking trhu the all the funny stats the media is coming up i found one list amazing...from 13 EURO finals only 3 have ended on three goals and one on four all others went under 3...there was only one final with over 3 goals in regulation in history of EuRO...just found it amazing
for tomorrows game: for germany and from a betting point it s similar to the germany-portugal game:
i just dont see much between the teams..in the KO-round all games besides the spain-russia game were very,very tight. i expect the same here again.
Everybody (at least here in germany) is talking about the fact that the team did not play well, but than again(as always) the produced result...they started as the pre-tourney fav and here they are.
2-0 over Poland was very solid
1-2 against croatia was terrible, but a perfect let down situation and maybe the right wake up call.
1-0 over Austria was OK IMO...it was still a pressured match and they controlled austria the whole game (although not doing much on offense themselves)
3-2 Portugal : simply great
3-2 Turkey: struggling, but they did what only Portugal managed to do vs. Turkey...they won
everybody is talking about problems on offense..i dont see that with 10 goals from the matches so far. I also think Spain is a good team for german tacticians...
Spain plays great football, but they have tactics, which you can figure out and create a plan against...that was not the case vs. Turkey, but worked out great vs. Portugal.
Spain: very solid..only team without loss in tourney...what everybody forgets about them IMO is the great defense.
4-1 over Russia: played great, but also got some garbage goals, but still a great game
2-1 over sweden: struggling, but got the winner late
2-1 over greece: B-team was plying
0-0 vs. Italy...solid defense, but struggling to create chance
3-0 vs. russia: terrible first half , but then nice performance vs. tired russian
overall i see them a bit overhyped by high wins over russia. goals came after takingthe lead...and spain is a great team having a lead and being able to go on counter attacks.
but they always struggled to get the opening goal (sweden,Greece,italy and russia match)...that is a weakness good tactical team can exploit, like the weak italians did and probably also german
My pick is
Germany pk,+0.5 @ 1.90
not sure if germany is winning, but i expect a very close and tight match similar to italy-spain..therefore a draw makes the bet a winner and thats simply great value with any German Team in a final.
i am also leaning to the under, but not quite sure yet how to play it...a 1-1 seems a very possible result to me.
BOL to all and GO GERMANY
first the breaking news everybody is talking about here....balack is doubtful with a calf-injury. he missed final practice session today.
against everything what is said i still expect hime to play if there is the smallest chance (BTW the same goes for Villa from spain)
looking trhu the all the funny stats the media is coming up i found one list amazing...from 13 EURO finals only 3 have ended on three goals and one on four all others went under 3...there was only one final with over 3 goals in regulation in history of EuRO...just found it amazing
for tomorrows game: for germany and from a betting point it s similar to the germany-portugal game:
i just dont see much between the teams..in the KO-round all games besides the spain-russia game were very,very tight. i expect the same here again.
Everybody (at least here in germany) is talking about the fact that the team did not play well, but than again(as always) the produced result...they started as the pre-tourney fav and here they are.
2-0 over Poland was very solid
1-2 against croatia was terrible, but a perfect let down situation and maybe the right wake up call.
1-0 over Austria was OK IMO...it was still a pressured match and they controlled austria the whole game (although not doing much on offense themselves)
3-2 Portugal : simply great
3-2 Turkey: struggling, but they did what only Portugal managed to do vs. Turkey...they won
everybody is talking about problems on offense..i dont see that with 10 goals from the matches so far. I also think Spain is a good team for german tacticians...
Spain plays great football, but they have tactics, which you can figure out and create a plan against...that was not the case vs. Turkey, but worked out great vs. Portugal.
Spain: very solid..only team without loss in tourney...what everybody forgets about them IMO is the great defense.
4-1 over Russia: played great, but also got some garbage goals, but still a great game
2-1 over sweden: struggling, but got the winner late
2-1 over greece: B-team was plying
0-0 vs. Italy...solid defense, but struggling to create chance
3-0 vs. russia: terrible first half , but then nice performance vs. tired russian
overall i see them a bit overhyped by high wins over russia. goals came after takingthe lead...and spain is a great team having a lead and being able to go on counter attacks.
but they always struggled to get the opening goal (sweden,Greece,italy and russia match)...that is a weakness good tactical team can exploit, like the weak italians did and probably also german
My pick is
Germany pk,+0.5 @ 1.90
not sure if germany is winning, but i expect a very close and tight match similar to italy-spain..therefore a draw makes the bet a winner and thats simply great value with any German Team in a final.
i am also leaning to the under, but not quite sure yet how to play it...a 1-1 seems a very possible result to me.
BOL to all and GO GERMANY